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W

orld demand for natural and synthetic graphite, including carbon

fiber, is forecast to expand 5.8% per year to reach 4.2 million met-

ric tons in 2018, with a market value of nearly $30 billion. Further, an

overall strengthening of the global economy will bode well for all forms

of graphite, say analysts at The Freedonia Group Inc., Cleveland, in their

new study,

World Graphite (Natural, Synthetic & Carbon Fiber).

In par-

ticular, accelerating demand for steel and other metals will benefit syn-

thetic graphite electrodes, which are essential for electric arc furnace steel

production, as well as synthetic graphite powders and natural graphite

used in other metallurgy applications.

Synthetic graphite demand is forecast to grow 5.7% annually to more

than 2.8 million metric tons, valued at more than $25 billion. The increas-

ing use of electric arc furnaces to

produce steel in most parts of the

world will boost sales of electrodes,

the leading synthetic graphite prod-

uct. The rise of advanced products

such as graphene and fuel cells will

boost demand for synthetic graphite

as well.

Demand for carbon fiber is ex-

pected to grow at a double-digit an-

nual pace as its use in aerospace,

automotive, wind turbine, and

other applications sharply in-

creases, say analysts. Manufactur-

ers are expected to incorporate

greater amounts of carbon fiber

into their products for weight re-

duction and improved strength. The cost of carbon fiber is expected to

gradually decline due to technological innovation, which will further en-

hance its attractiveness to manufacturers. As a result, sales of carbon fiber

will reach 120,000 metric tons by 2018, valued at $2.8 billion.

In the natural segment, flake graphite will continue to capture market

share from amorphous graphite, as high-tech applications become more

important and the availability of flake graphite greatly increases. Interest

in flake graphite increased dramatically with the rise of lithium-ion bat-

teries. For example, Tesla’s new “Giga Factory” for lithium-ion batteries,

due to begin U.S. production in 2017, is expected to significantly boost

natural graphite demand. If run at full capacity, the plant will require

about 100,000 metric tons of flake graphite annually.

Due to its large manufacturing economy, China is the leading con-

sumer of synthetic and natural graphite, using nearly 1.1 million met-

ric tons in 2013, one-third of global sales. Among other major

consumers are the U.S., Japan, India, South Korea, Germany, and Rus-

sia. Carbon fiber demand is scattered among the developed economies

of Western Europe, Japan, and the U.S., as well as China, although the

U.S., Japan, and Germany are leading suppliers.

For more information,

visit

freedoniagroup.com

.

ADVANCED MATERIALS & PROCESSES •

OCTOBER 2014

4

spot l ight

feedback

market

Global demand for graphite

to reach $30 billion in 2018

Celebrating cooperative engineering

The new “Metallurgy Lane” depart-

ment does a nice job clearly explaining

one historical advance at a time in a brief

format that attracts busy metallurgists.

As soon as

AM&P

arrives each month,

this is what I look for and read while eat-

ing lunch at my desk. I recently wrote to

the author, Charles Simcoe, praising his

accounts and sending him some infor-

mation where Canadian and U.S. engi-

neering cooperate. One example is the

Victoria Truss Bridge built in 1898 (27

spans of 70 m across the St. Lawrence

at Montreal), which replaced a single

track wrought iron bridge from 1859.

With a design and Bessemer steel from

Carnegie, Pittsburgh, the double track

was built around the tube with advanc-

ing construction spans from both ends.

The double track truss with external

roadways on each side has four times

the carrying capacity of the old bridge,

but with only twice the weight. It still pro-

vides the critical link in transcontinental

traffic for both Canadian National Rail-

way and Via Rail passengers as well as

commuter lines.

Hugh J. McQueen

Concordia University, Montreal

Victoria Truss Bridge, built in 1898.

Courtesy of Hugh McQueen.

Pastimes should make Putin proud

I was reading the last few pages of an

older edition of

AM&P

(July 2013) when

I spotted the “Pastimes” item entitled

Respect the Metallurgist

by Jon Bryant

from the July 1983

Metal Progress.

Bryant laments the lack of a National

Metallurgist Day. Turns out his wish has

been answered, at least in Russia: Visit

www.steelmaker.ru/en/node/1260.

In

part, the site proclaims, “Metallurgist

Day was approved by the USSR gov-

ernment in 1957 and since that time,

the third Sunday of July became a pro-

fessional holiday for all employees of

the industry. Metallurgy embraces the

processes of obtaining metals from ores

or other materials, changing the chemi-

cal ingredients, structure, and properties

of metallic alloys, and shaping them.

There would be no other industries with-

out metallurgists.”

Tony Wells

Australian Transport Safety Bureau

We welcome all comments and

suggestions. Send letters to

frances.richards@asminternational.org

.

World Graphite Demand by Region, 2013

(3.2 million metric tons)

Source: The Freedonia Group Inc.

Africa/Mideast

7.3%

Asia/Pacific

56.2%

North America

11.5%

Western

Europe

13.0%

Eastern Europe

8.1%

Central &

South America

3.9%